6月新屋開工上升3.6%

The Census Bureau report on housing Permits, Starts and Completions.

Building Permits:
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 563,000. This is 8.7 percent (±3.0%) above the revised May rate of 518,000, but is 52.0 percent (±3.6%) below the June 2008 estimate of 1,174,000.Single-family authorizations in June were at a rate of 430,000; this is 5.9 percent (±1.4%) above the revised May figure of 406,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 109,000 in June.

Housing Starts:
Privately-owned housing starts in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 582,000. This is 3.6 percent (±11.3%)* above the revised May estimate of 562,000, but is 46.0 percent (±4.3%) below the June 2008 rate of 1,078,000. Single-family housing starts in June were at a rate of 470,000; this is 14.4 percent (±11.8%) above the revised May figure of 411,000. The June rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 101,000.

• 下圖:新屋開工從07年至今每月的變動情況
• 6月份582,000為去年12月來最大之成長幅度

• 下圖:新屋開工至1959年之趨勢圖，歷史新低點是在今年的4月的47.9萬棟.
• 因目前的房屋庫存仍居於高位, 因而預期未來無論新屋開工或建築許可申請都將是疲弱的成長

--------------------------
Related news from sina:

美國商務部報告稱，美國6月份開始建造的房屋和公寓數量出現了7個月以來最大增幅，再次證明美國房地產市場滑坡狀況可能已經見底。

報告表明，經過季節性因素調整之後的美國6月份新屋開建數字環比增長了3.6%，年率數字攀升至58.2萬幢。營建許可數字也有所增加，環比增長了8.7%，達到56.3萬幢，創08年12月以來新高。

......經濟學家表示，此前新屋開建數字下滑速度已經直線下降。現在市場上出現了一些新的刺激購房措施，吸引了一些潛在的購房者返回房地產市場。

.....至此美國新屋開建數字已經連續兩個月攀升，表明在4月份新屋開建數字下降至47.9萬幢低位之後，此項數字已開始初步復甦。通常情況下，需要四個月的新屋開建移動平均數字才能確定房地產市場是否出現了新的趨勢。

..... 報告表明，6月份的多戶式住宅開工數量仍然非常疲軟。

....... 商務部警告稱，其每月公佈的新屋開建數據較為波動，可能因為采樣規模及其他會計錯誤等原因出現誤差。在大多數時候，政府並不能確定實際新屋開建數字是增加抑或是減少。政府通常會在報告中對以前公佈的數據進行修正。