2009年9月24日 星期四

FOMC Statement

依據美聯儲(Federal Reserve)週三所發佈之資料顯示:利率將維持 0-0.25% 利率區間不變,同時也強調了經濟復甦的跡象。

內容要點整理:
  • 金融市場及房市情況進一步改善,只是受限於失業及較弱的經濟成長而使得消費受限。

  • 即使未來經濟的成長較為疲弱,但各種的政策將能有所支撐。

  • 無通膨之風險,將聯邦基金利率目標維持在0-0.25%區間不變,並將持續一段期間。

  • 為使市場平穩過度,對1.25兆美元的抵押貸款支持證券購買計劃將延長至明年第一季末。

  • 3000億美元的國債購買則將依先前規劃於2009年10月結束。
Federal Reserve press release (Sep. 23, 2009)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August suggests that economic activity has picked up following its severe downturn. Conditions in financial markets have improved further, and activity in the housing sector has increased. Household spending seems to be stabilizing, but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and staffing, though at a slower pace; they continue to make progress in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales. Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will support a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.

With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen cost pressures and with longer-term inflation expectations stable, the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.

In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and up to $200 billion of agency debt. The Committee will gradually slow the pace of these purchases in order to promote a smooth transition in markets and anticipates that they will be executed by the end of the first quarter of 2010. As previously announced, the Federal Reserve’s purchases of $300 billion of Treasury securities will be completed by the end of October 2009. The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.
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